Prior analysis
We published our initial BULLISH analysis on BAT on Nov. 2nd when the price was sitting at $1.04 per coin. We made the call that BAT will be moving towards the $2 level before the end of the year and surely enough BAT hit its new all time high at $1.98 on November 28th less than a month later. Our followers managed to generate nearly 100% return on the trade and we received quite a lot of positive messages from them, thanking us for our insightful market analyses.
Now, after the recent correction BAT is presenting another bullish price pattern, thus signaling that more gains could be expected ahead. Since our initial Take Profit levels have already been hit and the framework and narrative around the Basic Attention Token continues to improve we have raised our year-end targets for BAT as we are now targeting the $3-4 range.
Fundamental Analysis
From a fundamental standpoint, BAT is one of the most exciting small-cap blockchain projects out there with a remarkable long-term growth potential. This comes from the fact that while many cryptocurrencies promise big things, the Basic Attention Token is one of the few and far between blockchain based businesses that actually have the tools they need to solve a real-world problem that we are facing today. The Basic Attention Token aims to disrupt and substantially improve the filled with controversies $330 billion digital advertising industry, which many believe that is currently failing its users, publishers and advertisers. BAT has already made meaningful steps towards resolving the large number of endemic inefficiencies and privacy violations hobbling the digital ad industry as it aims to make crypto and DeFi accessible and useable for everyone.
BAT has seen stunning results since its integration into the Brave browser’s first global private ad platform: 30 million monthly active users, 10 million daily active users, 1 million verified creators accepting BAT, millions of wallets created, thousands of ad campaigns with leading brands, and growing utility in the most innovative names in blockchain gaming. The results make BAT one of the most, if not the most, successful alt–coin projects to date.
Furthermore, last month we received news that the largest crypto asset managing company, Grayscale Investments, has decided to double down on its bet on altcoins and has purchased additional 188,991 BAT; 8,823 LINK; and 5,121 FIL in the last 45 days. At the moment, Grayscale holds $39.634 billion worth of Bitcoin , $13.438 billion in Ether, $6 million in BAT, $9.4 million in LINK and $6.1 million worth of Filecoin.
We believe that this is a great confirmation for the positive market sentiment among institutional investors, showing their confidence in the strong growth potential of the space. We see this as a huge catalyst for a major price appreciation moving forward, as it significantly strengthens the investment thesis for BAT.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, after the most recent price surge where the price almost doubled in a matter of just few trading sessions, rallying from the $1 level all the way up to $1.93, we are now presented with an attractive buying opportunity for BAT at around $1.59 per coin. The recent more than 18% correction came as a no surprise due to the expected heavy profit taking that took place after that near 100% rally. However, as you can see on the chart, the price structure looks very healthy as BAT is trading above all of its major moving averages 5, 20, 50 and 200 EMAs. In addition to that, we must point out that the corrective movement stopped right at the upward sloping trendline support on the 4H chart (blue line), which also coincided perfectly with the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement on the daily chart . Both the RSI and Stochastic oscillators have also retraced from overbought conditions and are turning higher as we speak. We are also seeing another ascending triangle forming on the 4H chart, with a neckline at around $1.75. We expect the price to push through the resistance lying at $1.75 in the next 3-5 daily trading sessions. Once the break is confirmed, BAT will take off towards its next major level of around $2.50-2.75 per coin. Since BAT, is still a small-cap cryptocurrency with a total market cap of only $2.3 billion, our long-term forecast for BAT shows that it has the potential of reaching the $4-6 per coin range.
From a risk-management standpoint, we will look to place our Stop Losses immediately below the 50-period EMA on the 4H chart at around $1.28 in case of a sudden price failure. However, in an event where we see BAT moving sharply lower, we will be looking to buy more of BAT at a discount as we firmly believe in the long-term growth prospects for the Basic Attention Token.
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Sincerely,
Dow Experts Finance